{"id":90701,"date":"2017-12-08T22:36:09","date_gmt":"2017-12-09T02:36:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=90701"},"modified":"2017-12-09T09:20:00","modified_gmt":"2017-12-09T13:20:00","slug":"bitcoin-no-matter-how-you-look-at-it-this-will-not-end-well","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=90701","title":{"rendered":"BITCOIN: No matter how you look at it, this will NOT end well"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Bitcoin soars above $17,000, boosting worries and a worldwide frenzy<\/h1>\n<p><!--more-->By Renae Merle<br \/>\nThe Washington Post<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin soared past the $17,000 mark on Thursday, a dizzying run for a digital currency that was worth less than $1,000 at the start of the year and was once largely the preoccupation of technologists or those looking to avoid scrutiny to launder money or buy drugs and weapons online.<\/p>\n<p>The fast rise \u2014 it has gone up more than 40\u00a0percent this week alone \u2014 is creating a buying frenzy among eager speculators around the world and helping push bitcoin into the mainstream. And it is also forcing U.S. regulators to grapple with whether to legitimize a product that operates outside the control of any government or financial institution.<\/p>\n<p>The run-up in price comes as bitcoin enthusiasts prepare to reach a new landmark. On Sunday, a bitcoin product will trade for the first time on a U.S. financial market, making it almost as easy to bet on the virtual currency as oil, corn or the euro.<\/p>\n<div id=\"fdByLe1xih5TCq\" class=\"moat-trackable pb-f-theme-normal pb-f-dehydrate-false pb-f-async-true full pb-feature pb-layout-item pb-f-page-newsletter-inLine injected-by-front-end\" data-chain-name=\"no-name\" data-feature-name=\"no-name\" data-feature-id=\"page\/newsletter-inLine\" data-pb-fingerprint=\"0fvmHEvNlqz\">\n<div class=\"border-bottom- border-bottom- nl-top-hairline\">\n<div class=\"newsletter-inline-unit keywordExists\">\n<div class=\"signup-module row inline-newsletter\">\n<div class=\"sign-up col-xs-4 open-sign-up\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"clear\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">The move will give it a \u201cveneer\u201d of legitimacy, said Mark Williams, a former Federal Reserve official who teaches finance at Boston University. \u201cFrom an investors standpoint, that could give it a false sense of protection.\u201d<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Many industry experts warn that the United States is not prepared for bitcoin\u2019s entry into the financial markets. As bitcoin prices were setting records, hackers this week reportedly made off with $70\u00a0million in the digital currency after targeting NiceHash, a cryptocurrency platform. The Futures Industry Association, which includes Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase, has complained that the process for investing in bitcoin is moving too fast. \u201cWe remain apprehensive with the lack of transparency and regulation\u201d of bitcoin, the group said\u00a0<a title=\"fia.org\" href=\"http:\/\/fia.org\/articles\/open-letter-cftc-chairman-giancarlo-regarding-listing-cryptocurrency-derivatives\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" shape=\"rect\">in a letter<\/a>\u00a0earlier this week.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screen-Shot-2017-12-09-at-8.19.09-AM.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90732 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screen-Shot-2017-12-09-at-8.19.09-AM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"653\" height=\"592\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screen-Shot-2017-12-09-at-8.19.09-AM.png 653w, https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screen-Shot-2017-12-09-at-8.19.09-AM-300x272.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 653px) 100vw, 653px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"inline-content inline-graphic-embedded\"><\/div>\n<p>Such warnings have not stopped the craze surrounding the currency as the sharp rise in value creates ever more demand. In South Korea, people are pouring their life savings into bitcoin and other digital currencies. In Venezuela, after observing the rise of bitcoin, the government announced it would launch its own virtual currency called the \u201cPetro\u201d to get around U.S. sanctions.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin was first created in 2009 under mysterious circumstances \u2014 little is known about who originally came up with the idea. It launched as a digital currency \u2014 without physical coins such as dimes or nickels \u2014 and was accompanied by an online payment network similar to PayPal. But unlike PayPal, the bitcoin transaction system is not owned by anyone.<\/p>\n<p>Its decentralized, democratic nature gave it special appeal. Only buyers and sellers \u2014 rather than the central bank of a government \u2014 can change its value. Transactions between accounts are recorded on online ledgers, and prices are posted publicly on exchanges such as Coinbase\u2019s GDAX, one of the 24-hour indexes that tracks the value of bitcoin. GDAX on Thursday reported bitcoin\u2019s price, which can fluctuate sharply, crossed the $17,000 threshold.<\/p>\n<p>Cryptocurrencies initially won fans among technology enthusiasts and people trying to avoid traditional currency markets. That includes people seeking to buy drugs on off-the-grid online marketplaces without being detected by the police. When federal authorities shut down one such marketplace called Silk Road in 2014, they seized 26,000 bitcoin worth about $3.6\u00a0million.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe people who started to use bitcoin years ago were those that couldn\u2019t use anything else,\u201d said Nicolas Christin, a security researcher at Carnegie Mellon University.<\/p>\n<p>Confidence in the virtual currency has been repeatedly shaken by spectacular failures, including the 2014 implosion of the largest bitcoin exchange of its time, Mt. Gox, which went bankrupt after $400\u00a0million in bitcoin was allegedly stolen. Hackers remain a threat, and sometimes bitcoin just disappear after their owners forget or lose the passwords for their accounts.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTen percent of bitcoin that has been generated to date has been lost forever,\u201d Williams estimated. \u201cThat is billions and billions of dollars.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But those hiccups have been followed by quick rebounds. Some retailers, such as Overstock.com and Subway, began accepting bitcoin as payment several years ago, and bitcoin ATMs are available in some cities, making purchase of the currency easier. Brokers such as San Francisco-based Coinbase have developed apps to make it easy to buy and sell bitcoin from a personal computer or smartphone.<\/p>\n<p>Yet for Wall Street investors, bitcoin has remained a fringe product, too awkward \u2014 and potentially hazardous \u2014 to buy and sell. On a typical day, the price of a single bitcoin can rise or fall 10\u00a0percent or more, the kind of fickleness that would send panic through traditional stock markets.<\/p>\n<p>But investors are finding bitcoin difficult to ignore as its collective value races past $250\u00a0billion, more than the gross domestic product of Vietnam and Greece.<\/p>\n<p>The currency\u2019s growing popularity has split the investment world. Jamie Dimon, chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the United States, has dismissed bitcoin as a \u201cfraud.\u201d \u201cIf you\u2019re stupid enough to buy it, you\u2019ll pay the price for it one day,\u201d he said last month.<\/p>\n<p>Yet Bill Miller, a legendary investor famous for producing better returns than the Standard &amp; Poor\u2019s 500-stock index for 15 years straight before hitting a rough stretch, has been investing in bitcoin for years. Bitcoin remains \u201cspeculative\u201d and could easily fall 50\u00a0percent, he said. But \u201cit\u2019s been a big winner for us.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Until now, investors who wanted to wager on bitcoin prices in traditional ways had to do so in Europe or Asia. But these overseas marketplaces are often too small and loosely regulated to attract large U.S. investors, said Michael Unetich, vice president of cryptocurrencies at Trading Technologies, which provides trading software. Some marketplaces have gone out of business or been victimized by hackers who steal their bitcoin, he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey are not seen as legitimate by institutional investors\u201d such as hedge funds, Unetich said.<\/p>\n<p>There has been ambivalence in the United States. Earlier this year, the Securities and Exchange Commission rejected an application from Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, the twins famous for suing Mark Zuckerberg over the creation of Facebook, to create a bitcoin product, over concerns such exchanges could be vulnerable to \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/get-there\/wp\/2017\/03\/10\/sec-rejects-bitcoin-etf-application-from-winklevoss-twins\/?utm_term=.8b8c38491672\" shape=\"rect\">fraudulent or manipulative acts and practices<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, another financial regulator, has been slow to adopt rules that could potentially legitimize the bitcoin market, industry experts say.<\/p>\n<p>William Dudley, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, recently said he remained cautious about the digital currency, saying it was not a \u201cstable store of value and it doesn\u2019t really have the characteristics that you\u2019d like to have in a currency.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Yet,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-usa-fed-dudley\/amid-bitcoin-surge-dudley-says-offering-digital-currency-on-feds-radar-idUSKBN1DT26J?il=0\" shape=\"rect\">he said<\/a>, \u201cit is something we are starting to think about: What would it mean to have a digital currency? What would it mean to offer it? Do we actually need it?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>An early test could come Sunday. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is allowing the CBOE Global Markets and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange to offer a bitcoin product that will permit investors to bet on future price changes. The better-known Nasdaq could follow next year.<\/p>\n<p>CBOE has already received significant interest about its new bitcoin product, said John Deters, its chief strategy officer.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe interest we have seen is probably more broad-based than anything we have seen before,\u201d Deters said. \u201cWe\u2019re really offering something different, a truly regulated and well-surveilled [bitcoin] marketplace with transparent rules and cutting-edge technology.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Yet, Deters acknowledged, the bitcoin craze that has sent the value of the virtual currency soaring could dissipate once it hits the regulatory rigors of a traditional trading market.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNobody knows. We will see what happens when people start to engage,\u201d he said. \u201cI think we\u2019re modest in terms of the expectation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For now, experts are urging investors to be wary. There are dozens of venues that quote slightly different bitcoin prices, many of which are small and could be manipulated, they said. Also, some bitcoin enthusiasts are hoarding the virtual currency rather than using it to make a purchase, worried that its price will go up even further, rendering their purchase laughably expensive.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs the price skyrockets, it is hard to justify selling your bitcoin to buy a piece of furniture when tomorrow you could afford to buy two pieces of furniture,\u201d said Jai Massari, a partner at Davis Polk &amp; Wardwell who advises clients on financial regulation.<\/p>\n<p>But those who are accumulating bitcoin could try to sell just as quickly, and there is no certainty they will find ready buyers, experts said, leading prices to fall as fast as they rose.<\/p>\n<p>Thomas Heath contributed to this report.<\/p>\n<p>__<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/economy\/bitcoin-soars-above-17000-boosting-worries-and-a-worldwide-frenzy\/2017\/12\/07\/439e71e8-db68-11e7-b1a8-62589434a581_story.html?utm_term=.04068f8bf291\">http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/economy\/bitcoin-soars-above-17000-boosting-worries-and-a-worldwide-frenzy\/2017\/12\/07\/439e71e8-db68-11e7-b1a8-62589434a581_story.html?utm_term=.04068f8bf291<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin soars above $17,000, boosting worries and a worldwide frenzy<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-90701","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90701","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=90701"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90701\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=90701"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=90701"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=90701"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}