{"id":76109,"date":"2017-06-23T07:47:05","date_gmt":"2017-06-23T11:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=76109"},"modified":"2017-06-23T07:47:05","modified_gmt":"2017-06-23T11:47:05","slug":"democrats-stop-with-the-poll-rigging-its-getting-embarrassing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=76109","title":{"rendered":"Democrats, Stop With The Poll Rigging&#8230;It&#8217;s Getting Embarrassing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--more-->ZeroHedge.com<\/p>\n<p>Last fall, in the months\/weeks leading up to the presidential election, <strong>we spent a fair amount time talking about how Democratic pollsters were setting themselves up for a massive embarrassment on election day with their obviously rigged polling data<\/strong> that consistently suggested Hillary had a commanding lead.\u00a0 In fact, just weeks before the election, the Washington Post published a poll showing that Hillary was well on her way to a &#8216;blowout&#8217; 12-point victory (we wrote about it here:\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-10-23\/how-wapos-latest-poll-give-hillary-12-point-advantage-over-trump\">This Is How WaPo&#8217;s Latest Poll Gave Hillary A 12 Point Advantage Over Trump<\/a>).\u00a0 Needless to say, that never happened and those pollsters suffered the humiliating consequences of their biased &#8216;math.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, as last night&#8217;s special election in Georgia makes all too clear, no one on the left seems to have learned any lessons from their presidential poll rigging debacle last November.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, one prominent pollster even declared just 6 days before the election that if Ossoff failed to win it would mean that <strong>&#8220;MATH IS DEAD AND DATA IS BROKEN.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">It means there&#39;s a 70% chance Ossoff wins and a 30% chance that MATH IS DEAD AND DATA IS BROKEN.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/875112655836643328?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 14, 2017<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<div class=\"SandboxRoot env-bp-350\" data-twitter-event-id=\"0\"><\/div>\n<p>Of course, the problem isn&#8217;t that &#8220;math is dead&#8221; or &#8220;data is broken&#8221;&#8230;the problem is that <strong>rather than using data to arrive at a solution pollsters have resorted to starting out with a solution and then solving for the data.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Which is exactly what appears to have happened in Georgia.\u00a0 As the following chart points out, with just 9 days left until election day, pollsters were predicting a fairly easy win for Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff in Georgia&#8217;s 6th district runoff&#8230;shocking, we know.\u00a0 But, just over a week later, the Republican candidate ended up easily walking away with the win, and <strong>served up another embarrassment for pollsters in the process as actual results swung 8.6 points from predictions peddled to the public just a week earlier.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user230519\/imageroot\/2017\/06\/21\/2017.06.21%20-%20Poll%201.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/user230519\/imageroot\/2017\/06\/21\/2017.06.21%20-%20Poll%201_0.jpg\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>So how does this keep happening?\u00a0 Well, it&#8217;s not that surprising in light of the fact that <strong>Democrats literally wrote a playbook on how to rig polling data through &#8220;oversamples.&#8221;<\/strong>\u00a0 As we noted last October in a post entitled &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-10-23\/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples\">New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through &#8216;Oversamples&#8217;<\/a>&#8220;, it all apparently has a lot to do with &#8220;oversampling&#8221; various minority groups.<\/p>\n<p>The email even includes a handy, 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations.\u00a0 <strong>In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<div class=\"quote_start\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"quote_end\"><\/div>\n<p><em>Research, microtargeting &amp; polling projects<\/em><br \/>\n<em>&#8211;\u00a0 <strong>Over-sample Hispanics<\/strong><\/em><br \/>\n<em>&#8211;\u00a0 Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)<\/em><br \/>\n<em>&#8211;\u00a0 <strong>Over-sample the Native American population<\/strong><\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>For Florida, the report recommends <strong>&#8220;consistently monitoring&#8221; samples to makes sure they&#8217;re &#8220;not too old&#8221; and &#8220;has enough African American and Hispanic voters.&#8221;<\/strong>\u00a0 Meanwhile, &#8220;independent&#8221; voters in Tampa and Orlando are apparently more dem friendly so the report suggests filling up independent quotas in those cities first.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<div class=\"quote_start\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"quote_end\"><\/div>\n<p><em>&#8211;\u00a0 <strong>Consistently monitor the sample to ensure it is not too old<\/strong>, and that it <strong>has enough African American and Hispanic voters <\/strong>to reflect the state.<\/em><br \/>\n<em>&#8211;\u00a0 On Independents: <strong>Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida <\/strong>(check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, <strong>make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Of course, the intent of publishing these ridiculous polls is presumably to &#8216;chill&#8217; the Republican vote&#8230;afterall, why go through the hassle of long lines at a polling station if your candidate has no shot at winning?<\/p>\n<p><strong>That said, the strategy only worked BEFORE the media and pollsters lost all credibility&#8230;so, why bother keeping up the charade?<\/strong>\u00a0 As we mentioned above, it&#8217;s just getting embarrassing at this point.<\/p>\n<p>___<br \/>\nhttp:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2017-06-21\/democrats-stop-poll-riggingits-getting-embarrassing-and-clearly-not-helping-you<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76109","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=76109"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76109\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=76109"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=76109"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=76109"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}