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<\/p>\nMichael Krieger
\nLiberty Blitzkrieg<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
So we tried that thing called regime change in Iraq, and failed miserably. We tried it in Libya, and now there are now active slave markets in the place. But we satisfied the objective of \u201cremoving a dictator\u201d. By the exact same reasoning, a doctor would inject a patient with \u201cmoderate\u201d cancer cells \u201cto improve his cholesterol numbers\u201d, and claim victory after the patient is dead, particularly if the post-mortem shows remarkable cholesterol readings. But we know that doctors don\u2019t do that, or, don\u2019t do it in such a crude format, and that there is a clear reason for it. Doctors usually have some skin in the game.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n And when a blow up happens, they invoke uncertainty, something called a Black Swan, after some book by a (very) stubborn fellow, not realizing that one should not mess with a system if the results are fraught with uncertainty, or, more generally, avoid engaging in an action if you have no idea of the outcomes. Imagine people with similar mental handicaps, who don\u2019t understand asymmetry, piloting planes. Incompetent pilots, those who cannot learn from experience, or don\u2019t mind taking risks they don\u2019t understand, may kill many, but they will themselves end up at the bottom of, say, the Atlantic, and cease to represent a threat to others and mankind.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n So we end up populating what we call the intelligentsia with people who are delusional, literally mentally deranged, simply because they never have to pay for the consequences of their actions, repeating modernist slogans stripped of all depth. In general, when you hear someone invoking abstract modernistic notions, you can assume that they got some education (but not enough, or in the wrong discipline) and too little accountability.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n From Nassim Taleb\u2019s recent post:\u00a0On Interventionistas and their Mental\u00a0Defects<\/a><\/p>\n I spent the last 50 minutes listening to an interview of neocon Iraq war architect Paul Wolfowitz, a truly unfortunate experience\u00a0which\u00a0felt like a tomahawk missile attack\u00a0against my cerebrum. Regrettably, we still live in a world where you have to listen to the musings of such war criminals, as they continue to\u00a0have considerable influence in certain circles of American power, and quite possibly within the Trump administration itself.<\/p>\n There were four\u00a0main takeaways from the\u00a0man\u2019s monstrous, deluded ramblings. First, he hates being called a neocon, so make sure you continue to do so \u2014 publicly and with as much vigor as possible. Second, he\u2019s learned absolutely zero lessons from the spectacular,\u00a0historic failures that resulted from\u00a0his neocon policies. This makes perfect sense, because as Taleb so eloquently noted on his piece referenced at the top, mentally deranged people in leadership positions who blow up the world suffer no consequences for their actions.<\/strong> Indeed, they are often rewarded handsomely for their failures (a similar thing happens in corporate America, see Wall Street). When failure is rewarded, you get a lot more of it, which pretty much summarizes the U.S. experience in the 21st century. Third, he didn\u2019t vote for Hillary or Trump in the 2016 election. He considered\u00a0voting for Hillary, but what gave him pause was the fact she wasn\u2019t hawkish enough on Russia.<\/p>\n Given the above, you\u2019d think such a man would\u00a0have little to no influence within the Trump administration. Unfortunately,\u00a0this is not the case, which brings us to the final takeaway. Not only has Wolfowitz become more optimistic about Trump (we all\u00a0know how much bombing and destruction turns him on), but he may have his neocon tentacles deep within the Trump camp via his relationship with both General McMaster and General Mattis.<\/p>\n