{"id":63576,"date":"2017-01-17T18:17:29","date_gmt":"2017-01-17T22:17:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=63576"},"modified":"2017-01-17T18:17:29","modified_gmt":"2017-01-17T22:17:29","slug":"veteran-u-s-intelligence-officials-call-for-russian-hacking-proof","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=63576","title":{"rendered":"Veteran U.S. Intelligence Officials Call for Russian \u2018Hacking\u2019 Proof"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>MEMORANDUM FOR: President Barack Obama<\/h3>\n<h3>FROM:\u00a0Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)<\/h3>\n<h3>SUBJECT:\u00a0A Key Issue That Still Needs to be Resolved<\/h3>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>As President-elect Donald Trump prepares to take the oath of office Friday, a pall hangs over his upcoming presidency amid an unprecedentedly concerted campaign to delegitimize it.\u00a0Unconfirmed accusations continue to swirl alleging that Russian President Vladimir Putin authorized \u201cRussian hacking\u201d that helped put Mr. Trump in the White House.<\/p>\n<p>As President for a few more days, you have the power to demand concrete evidence of a link between the Russians and WikiLeaks, which published the bulk of the information in question.\u00a0Lacking that evidence, the American people should be told that there is no fire under the smoke and mirrors of recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p>We urge you to authorize public release of any tangible evidence that takes us beyond the unsubstantiated, \u201cwe-assess\u201d judgments by the intelligence agencies.\u00a0Otherwise, we \u2013 as well as other skeptical Americans \u2013 will be left with the corrosive suspicion that the intense campaign of accusations is part of a wider attempt to discredit the Russians and those \u2013 like Mr. Trump \u2013 who wish to deal constructively with them.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Remember the Maine?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Alleged Russian interference has been labeled \u201can act of war\u201d and Mr. Trump a \u201ctraitor.\u201d\u00a0But the \u201cintelligence\u201d served up to support those charges does not pass the smell test.\u00a0Your press conference on Wednesday will give you a chance to respond more persuasively to NBC\u2019s Peter Alexander\u2019s challenge at the last one (on Dec. 16) \u201cto show the proof [and], as they say, put your money where your mouth is and declassify some of the intelligence. \u2026\u201d<br \/>\n<span id=\"more-65027\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>You told Alexander you were reluctant to \u201ccompromise sources and methods.\u201d\u00a0We can understand that concern better than most Americans.\u00a0We would remind you, though, that at critical junctures in the past, your predecessors made judicious decisions to give higher priority to buttressing the credibility of U.S. intelligence-based policy than to protecting sources and methods.\u00a0With the Kremlin widely accused by politicians and pundits of \u201can act of war,\u201d this is the kind of textbook case in which you might seriously consider taking special pains to substantiate serious allegations with hard intelligence \u2013 if there is any.<\/p>\n<p>During the Cuban missile crisis, for instance, President Kennedy ordered us to show highly classified photos of Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba and on ships en route, even though this blew sensitive detail regarding the imagery intelligence capabilities of the cameras on our U-2 aircraft.<\/p>\n<p>President Ronald Reagan\u2019s reaction to the Libyan terrorist bombing of La Belle Disco in Berlin on April 5, 1986, that killed two and injured 79 other U.S. servicemen is another case in point.\u00a0We had intercepted a Libyan message that morning: \u201cAt 1:30 in the morning one of the acts was carried out with success, without leaving a trace behind.\u201d\u00a0(We should add here that NSA\u2019s dragnet SIGINT capability 30 years later renders it virtually impossible to avoid \u201cleaving a trace behind\u201d once a message is put on the network.)<\/p>\n<p>President Reagan ordered the U.S. Air Force to bomb Col. Muammar Qaddafi\u2019s palace compound to smithereens, killing several civilians.\u00a0Amid widespread international consternation and demands for proof that Libya was responsible for the Berlin attack, President Reagan ordered us to make public the encrypted Libyan message, thereby sacrificing a collection\/decryption capability unknown to the Libyans \u2013 until then.<\/p>\n<p>As senior CIA veteran Milton Bearden has put it, there are occasions when more damage is done by \u201cprotecting\u201d sources and methods than by revealing them.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Where\u2019s the Beef?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We find the New York Times- and Washington Post-led media Blitz against Trump and Putin truly extraordinary, despite our long experience with intelligence\/media related issues.\u00a0On Jan. 6, the day after your top intelligence officials published what we found to be an embarrassingly shoddy report purporting to prove Russian hacking in support of Trump\u2019s candidacy, the Times banner headline across all six columns on page 1 read:\u00a0\u201c<strong>PUTIN LED SCHEME TO AID TRUMP, REPORT SAYS<\/strong>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The lead article began: \u201cPresident Vladimir V. Putin of Russia directed a vast cyberattack aimed at denying Hillary Clinton the presidency and installing Donald J. Trump in the Oval Office, the nation\u2019s top intelligence agencies said in an extraordinary report they delivered on Friday to Mr. Trump.\u201d\u00a0Eschewing all subtlety, the Times added that the revelations in \u201cthis damning report \u2026 undermined the legitimacy\u201d of the President-elect, and \u201cmade the case that Mr. Trump was the favored candidate of Mr. Putin.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>On page A10, however, Times investigative reporter Scott Shane pointed out: \u201cWhat is missing from the public report is what many Americans most eagerly anticipated: hard evidence to back up the agencies\u2019 claims that the Russian government engineered the election attack.\u00a0That is a significant omission.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Shane continued, \u201cInstead, the message from the agencies essentially amounts to \u2018trust us.\u2019\u00a0There is no discussion of the forensics used to recognize the handiwork of known hacking groups, no mention of intercepted communications between the Kremlin and the hackers, no hint of spies reporting from inside Moscow\u2019s propaganda machinery.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Shane added that the intelligence report \u201coffers an obvious reason for leaving out the details, declaring that including \u2018the precise bases for its assessments\u2019 would \u2018reveal sensitive sources and methods and imperil the ability to collect critical foreign intelligence in the future.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Shane added a quote from former National Security Agency lawyer Susan Hennessey: \u201cThe unclassified report is underwhelming at best. There is essentially no new information for those who have been paying attention.\u201d\u00a0Ms. Hennessey served as an attorney in NSA\u2019s Office of General Counsel and is now a Brookings Fellow in National Security Law.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Everyone Hacks<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There is a lot of ambiguity \u2013 whether calculated or not \u2013 about \u201cRussian hacking.\u201d\u00a0\u201cEveryone knows that everyone hacks,\u201d says everyone: Russia hacks; China hacks; every nation that can hacks. So do individuals of various nationalities. This is not the question.<\/p>\n<p>You said at your press conference on Dec. 16 \u201cthe intelligence that I have seen gives me great confidence in their [U.S. intelligence agencies\u2019] assessment that the Russians carried out this hack.\u201d\u00a0\u201cWhich hack?\u201d you were asked.\u00a0\u201cThe hack of the DNC and the hack of John Podesta,\u201d you answered.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier during the press conference you alluded to the fact that \u201cthe information was in the hands of WikiLeaks.\u201d\u00a0The key question is how the material from \u201cRussian hacking\u201d got to WikiLeaks, because it was WikiLeaks that published the DNC and Podesta emails.<\/p>\n<p>Our VIPS colleague William Binney, who was Technical Director of NSA and created many of the collection systems still in use, assures us that NSA\u2019s \u201ccast-iron\u201d coverage \u2013 particularly surrounding Julian Assange and other people associated with WikiLeaks\u00a0 \u2013 would almost certainly have yielded a record of any electronic transfer from Russia to WikiLeaks.\u00a0Binney has used some of the highly classified slides released by Edward Snowden to demonstrate precisely how NSA accomplishes this using trace mechanisms embedded throughout the network.\u00a0[See: \u201c<a title=\"U.S. Intel Vets Dispute Russia Hacking Claims,\" href=\"http:\/\/consortiumnews.com\/2016\/12\/12\/us-intel-vets-dispute-russia-hacking-claims\/\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. Intel Vets Dispute Russia Hacking Claims,<\/a>\u201d Dec. 12, 2016.]<\/p>\n<p><strong>NSA Must Come Clean<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We strongly suggest that you ask NSA for any evidence it may have indicating that the results of Russian hacking were given to WikiLeaks.\u00a0If NSA can produce such evidence, you may wish to order whatever declassification may be needed and then release the evidence.\u00a0This would go a long way toward allaying suspicions that no evidence exists.\u00a0If NSA cannot give you that information \u2013 and quickly \u2013 this would probably mean it does not have any.<\/p>\n<p>In all candor, the checkered record of Director of National Intelligence James Clapper for trustworthiness makes us much less confident that anyone should take it on faith that he is more \u201ctrustworthy than the Russians,\u201d as you suggested on Dec. 16.\u00a0You will probably recall that Clapper lied under oath to the Senate Intelligence Committee on March 12, 2013, about NSA dragnet activities; later apologizing for testimony he admitted had been \u201cclearly erroneous.\u201d\u00a0In <a title=\"our Memorandum\" href=\"http:\/\/consortiumnews.com\/2013\/12\/11\/obama-urged-to-fire-dni-clapper\/\" target=\"_blank\">our Memorandum<\/a> for you on Dec. 11, 2013, we cited chapter and verse as to why Clapper should have been fired for saying things he knew to be \u201cclearly erroneous.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In that Memorandum, we endorsed the demand by Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner that Clapper be removed. \u201cLying to Congress is a federal offense, and Clapper ought to be fired and prosecuted for it,\u201d said Sensenbrenner in an interview with The Hill. \u201cThe only way laws are effective is if they\u2019re enforced.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Actually, we have had trouble understanding why, almost four years after he deliberately misled the Senate, Clapper remains Director of National Intelligence \u2013 overseeing the entire intelligence community.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hacks or Leaks?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Not mentioned until now is our conclusion that leaks are the source of the WikiLeaks disclosures in question \u2013 not hacking.\u00a0Leaks normally leave no electronic trace.\u00a0William Binney has been emphasizing this for several months and suggesting strongly that the disclosures were from a leaker with physical access to the information \u2013 not a hacker with only remote access.<\/p>\n<p>This, of course, makes it even harder to pin the blame on President Putin, or anyone else.\u00a0And we suspect that this explains why NSA demurred when asked to join the CIA and FBI in expressing \u201chigh confidence\u201d in this key judgment of the report put out under Clapper\u2019s auspices on Jan. 6, yielding this curious formulation:<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cWe also assess Putin and the Russian Government aspired to help President-elect Trump\u2019s election chances when possible by discrediting Secretary Clinton and publicly contrasting her unfavorably to him. <\/strong>All three agencies agree with this judgment. CIA and FBI have high confidence in this judgment; NSA has moderate confidence.\u201d (Emphasis, and lack of emphasis, in original)<\/p>\n<p>In addition, former U.K. Ambassador Craig Murray has said publicly he has first-hand information on the provenance of the leaks, and has expressed surprise that no one from the New York Times or the Washington Post has tried to get in touch with him.\u00a0We would be interested in knowing whether anyone from your administration, including the intelligence community, has made any effort to contact Ambassador Murray.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What to Do<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>President-elect Trump said a few days ago that his team will have a \u201cfull report on hacking within 90 days.\u201d\u00a0Whatever the findings of the Trump team turn out to be, they will no doubt be greeted with due skepticism, since Mr. Trump is in no way a disinterested party.<\/p>\n<p>You, on the other hand, enjoy far more credibility \u2013 AND power \u2013 for the next few days.\u00a0And we assume you would not wish to hobble your successor with charges that cannot withstand close scrutiny.\u00a0We suggest you order the chiefs of the NSA, FBI and CIA to the White House and ask them to lay all their cards on the table.\u00a0They need to show you why you should continue to place credence in what, a month ago, you described as \u201cuniform intelligence assessments\u201d about Russian hacking.<\/p>\n<p>At that point, if the intelligence heads have credible evidence, you have the option of ordering it released \u2013 even at the risk of damage to sources and methods.\u00a0For what it may be worth, we will not be shocked if it turns out that they can do no better than the evidence-deprived assessments they have served up in recent weeks.\u00a0In that case, we would urge you, in all fairness, to let the American people in on the dearth of convincing evidence before you leave office.<\/p>\n<p>As you will have gathered by now, we strongly suspect that the evidence your intelligence chiefs have of a joint <strong><em>Russian-hacking-WikiLeaks-publishing<\/em><\/strong> operation is no better than the \u201cintelligence\u201d evidence in 2002-2003 \u2013 expressed then with comparable flat-fact \u201ccertitude\u201d \u2013 of the existence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obama\u2019s Legacy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mr. President, there is much talk in your final days in office about your legacy.\u00a0Will part of that legacy be that you stood by while flames of illegitimacy rose willy-nilly around your successor?\u00a0Or will you use your power to reveal the information \u2013 or the fact that there are merely unsupported allegations \u2013 that would enable us to deal with them responsibly?<\/p>\n<p>In the immediate wake of the holiday on which we mark the birthday of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., it seems appropriate to make reference to his legacy, calling to mind the graphic words in his \u201cLetter From the Birmingham City Jail,\u201d with which he reminds us of our common duty to expose lies and injustice:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cLike a boil that can never be cured as long as it is covered up, but must be opened with all its pus-flowing ugliness to the natural medicines of air and light, injustice must likewise be exposed, with all of the tension its exposing creates, to the light of human conscience and the air of national opinion before it can be cured.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>For the Steering Group, Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>William Binney, former Technical Director, World Geopolitical &amp; Military Analysis, NSA; co-founder, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Marshall Carter-Tripp, Foreign Service Officer (ret) and former Office Director in the State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research<\/p>\n<p>Thomas Drake, former Senior Executive, NSA<\/p>\n<p>Bogdan Dzakovic, Former Team Leader of Federal Air Marshals and Red Team, FAA Security, (ret.) (associate VIPS)<\/p>\n<p>Philip Giraldi, CIA, Operations Officer (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Mike Gravel, former Adjutant, top secret control officer, Communications Intelligence Service; special agent of the Counter Intelligence Corps and former United States Senator<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Hoh, former Capt., USMC, Iraq &amp; Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (associate VIPS)<\/p>\n<p>Larry Johnson, former CIA Intelligence Officer &amp; former State Department Counter-Terrorism Official, ret.<\/p>\n<p>Michael S. Kearns, Captain, USAF (Ret.); ex-Master SERE Instructor for Strategic Reconnaissance Operations (NSA\/DIA) and Special Mission Units (JSOC)<\/p>\n<p>Brady Kiesling, former U.S. Foreign Service Officer, ret. (Associate VIPS),<\/p>\n<p>John Kiriakou, Former CIA Counterterrorism Officer and former Senior Investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee<\/p>\n<p>Karen Kwiatkowski, former Lt. Col., US Air Force (ret.), at Office of Secretary of Defense watching the manufacture of lies on Iraq, 2001-2003<\/p>\n<p>Linda Lewis, WMD preparedness policy analyst, USDA (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>David MacMichael, National Intelligence Council (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Ray McGovern, former US Army infantry\/intelligence officer &amp; CIA analyst (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Elizabeth Murray, former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Middle East, CIA (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Scott Ritter, former MAJ., USMC, former UN Weapon Inspector, Iraq<\/p>\n<p>Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal Counsel (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Peter Van Buren, U.S. Department of State, Foreign Service Officer (ret.) (associate VIPS)<\/p>\n<p>Kirk Wiebe, former Senior Analyst, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA (ret.)<\/p>\n<p>Robert Wing,\u00a0former Foreign Service Officer (associate VIPS)<\/p>\n<p>Ann Wright, U.S. Army Reserve Colonel (ret) and former U.S. Diplomat<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MEMORANDUM FOR: President Barack Obama FROM:\u00a0Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS) SUBJECT:\u00a0A Key Issue That Still Needs to be Resolved<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63576","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63576","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63576"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63576\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63576"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63576"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63576"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}