{"id":50189,"date":"2016-09-24T15:31:57","date_gmt":"2016-09-24T19:31:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=50189"},"modified":"2016-09-24T15:32:53","modified_gmt":"2016-09-24T19:32:53","slug":"quinnipiac-race-tightens-in-colorado-as-trump-gains-among-white-college-educated-voters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=50189","title":{"rendered":"Quinnipiac: Race Tightens in Colorado as Trump Gains Among White College-Educated Voters"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"deck\">The state could decide the presidential contest.<\/h3>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"byline\">\n<p><span class=\"datetime\">5:34 PM, SEP 22, 2016 | <\/span>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.weeklystandard.com\/author\/john-mccormack\">JOHN MCCORMACK<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-body\">\n<div class=\"lead-photo\">\n<h5><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"image animated fadeIn\" src=\"http:\/\/cdn.weeklystandard.biz\/cache\/280x280-be0ec5b1cafe03b74658afdbffbbc1f1.jpg\" data-image=\"be0ec5b1cafe03b74658afdbffbbc1f1\" data-preset-lg=\"280x280\" data-preset-md=\"280x280\" data-preset-sm=\"280x280\" \/><br \/>\n(Photo credits: Lorie Shaull and Michael Vadon)<\/h5>\n<p>A <a href=\"http:\/\/www.qu.edu\/news-and-events\/quinnipiac-university-poll\/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls\/release-detail?ReleaseID=2381\" target=\"_blank\">new Quinnipiac poll<\/a> shows Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton tied at 47 percent in a head-to-head race in Colorado. When Libertarian and Green Party candidates are added into the mix, Trump is down just 2 points (44 percent to 42 percent). That&#8217;s a big swing from Quinnipiac&#8217;s last poll of Colorado in August when Clinton led Trump by 10 points (49 percent to 39 percent).<\/p>\n<p>The tightening, according to Quinnipiac, is mostly due to shifts among white college-educated voters: In <a href=\"http:\/\/www.qu.edu\/images\/polling\/ps\/sco08172016_crosstabs_Spk79cr.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">August<\/a>, Clinton had a 25-point lead among that group (58 percent to 33 percent) but <a href=\"http:\/\/www.qu.edu\/images\/polling\/ps\/sco09222016_crosstabs_Sp72mk.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">now<\/a> leads Trump by just 5 points (45 percent to 40 percent).<\/p>\n<p>Trump has increased his margin over Clinton among white voters without college degrees from 17 points in August to 23 points in September. Clinton&#8217;s margin over Trump among non-white voters is steady: It was a 35 points in August (64 percent to 29 percent) in August and is 38 points in September (62 percen to 24 percent).<\/p>\n<p>Quinnipiac is of course just one pollster, and other polls out of Colorado have recently painted a contradictory picture: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2016\/president\/co\/colorado_trump_vs_clinton-5751.html\" target=\"_blank\">Emerson College<\/a> found Trump leading Clinton by 4 points last week, but a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gjsentinel.com\/news\/articles\/university-jumps-into-politics\" target=\"_blank\">PBS poll<\/a> relased today showed Clinton up by 9 points.<\/p>\n<p>If Trump were to win all the states where he currently holds <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2016\/president\/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html\" target=\"_blank\">any lead in the <em>Real Clear Politics<\/em> average of polls<\/a>, he would still need to secure one more state to win a majority of Electoral College votes. Clinton now holds significant 5- to 6-point leads in the polling averages for New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. It&#8217;s entirely possible that Colorado could end up putting one candidate or the other over the top in November.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Plausible Electoral College results in light of new polling: Trump 275, Clinton 263 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Szlv3fDLWF\">pic.twitter.com\/Szlv3fDLWF<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; John McCormack (@McCormackJohn) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/McCormackJohn\/status\/779036458472599552?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 22, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-body\">\n<div class=\"lead-photo\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Also plausible Electoral College results in light of recent polling: Clinton 322, Trump 216 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1Sw8OQH9O3\">pic.twitter.com\/1Sw8OQH9O3<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; John McCormack (@McCormackJohn) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/McCormackJohn\/status\/779039771125514240?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 22, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><strong>Correction<\/strong>: <em>This article originally reported that a Franklin and Marshall poll released today also showed Clinton leading; Franklin and Marshall participated in conducting the aforementioned PBS poll.<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p>___<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.weeklystandard.com\/quinnipiac-race-tightens-in-colorado-as-trump-gains-among-white-college-educated-voters\/article\/2004481\">http:\/\/www.weeklystandard.com\/quinnipiac-race-tightens-in-colorado-as-trump-gains-among-white-college-educated-voters\/article\/2004481<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body-text\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The state could decide the presidential contest.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50189","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=50189"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50189\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=50189"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=50189"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=50189"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}