{"id":47596,"date":"2016-08-31T08:22:07","date_gmt":"2016-08-31T12:22:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=47596"},"modified":"2016-08-31T08:23:03","modified_gmt":"2016-08-31T12:23:03","slug":"do-newly-built-skyscrapers-signal-the-top-of-the-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/?p=47596","title":{"rendered":"Do Newly Built Skyscrapers Signal The Top Of The Stock Market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--more-->ZeroHedge.com<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Have you heard of the Burj Khalifa in Dubai?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/changing-skyline-worlds-tallest-buildings\/\">tallest skyscraper in the world<\/a>\u00a0at 828m (2,717 ft), and it was completed in 2009. The price tag was a whopping $1.5 billion, making it one of the most expensive buildings of all time.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/skyscrapers-signal-top-of-markets\/\">As Visual Capitalist&#8217;s Jeff Desjardin explains<\/a>, <strong><em>for these bold projects to get the go ahead, global financial conditions have to be just right.<\/em><\/strong> Record-breaking skyscrapers can take multiple years to build, and things can change drastically from start to finish.<\/p>\n<p>In this case, construction of the Burj Khalifa started in 2004. <em><strong>By the time it was completed, however, the financial markets were in ruins. Lehman had collapsed, and rescue efforts such as TARP and QE were in full force to try and stop the bleeding. Between October 2007 and March 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 55% of value.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>The crisis didn\u2019t only bankrupt financial markets \u2013 it also took its toll on competing projects that aimed to unseat the Burj Khalifa as the world\u2019s height record-holder. For example, One Dubai Tower A was supposed to be a whopping\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/skyscrapercenter.com\/building\/one-dubai-tower-a\/5179\">1,008m (3,307 ft) tall<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 but it was\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.constructionnews.co.uk\/news\/middle-east\/meraas-stops-work-on-dubai-towers\/1994641.article\">shelved<\/a>\u00a0in March 2009 once it was clear that global financial conditions would not be improving any time soon.<\/p>\n<p><u><strong>DO NEWLY BUILT SKYSCRAPERS SIGNAL THE TOP OF THE STOCK MARKET?<\/strong><\/u><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Could record-setting skyscrapers signal economic over-expansion and a misallocation of capital?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/ewminteractive.com\/the-skyscraper-curse\/\">EWN Interactive<\/a>, a subscription service focused on technical analysis, thinks so. The following infographic follows the \u201cSkyscraper Curse\u201d through six different market tops and subsequent crashes over the past century.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>It is gigantic in size, so please\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/skyscraper-curse.html\">click here<\/a>\u00a0or the below image to access the legible version:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/skyscrapers-signal-top-of-markets\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/2oqz471sa19h3vbwa53m33yj.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/skyscraper-curse-2000px.jpg\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><em>Courtesy of: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\">Visual Capitalist<\/a><\/em><\/div>\n<p>EWM Interactive sums up the infographic with these words:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<div class=\"quote_start\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"quote_end\"><\/div>\n<p>In the market, extreme optimism results in price bubbles. <strong>One of the real-life manifestations of extremely positive social mood is the construction of enormous buildings.<\/strong> Market tops and skyscrapers often seem to emerge simultaneously, because both phenomena are the <strong>result of the illusion of infinite prosperity<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>But extreme psychological conditions do not last very long. <\/strong>That is the reason why record-breaking buildings, whose construction starts during a market bubble, are often completed after the bubble\u2019s collapse.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>That said, there are counter-examples that show the \u201cskyscraper theory\u201d is not perfect.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>The recession after World War I, the recession of 1937, and the recession in the early 1980s were not correlated with any record-breaking skyscraper projects. An\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1080\/00036846.2014.967380\">empirical test in 2015<\/a>\u00a0that looked at the theory found that record-setting skyscrapers did not correspond directly with the business cycle.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Let\u2019s hope that they are right, since the Jeddah Tower \u2013 a 1,008m (3,307 ft) monster in Saudi Arabia \u2013 is expected to unseat the Burj Khalifa as the world\u2019s tallest building\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thenational.ae\/business\/property\/jeddah-tower-future-worlds-tallest-building-delayed-after-contractor-problems\">by the year 2019<\/a>.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>___<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-08-30\/do-newly-built-skyscrapers-signal-top-stock-market\">http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-08-30\/do-newly-built-skyscrapers-signal-top-stock-market<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=47596"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47596\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=47596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=47596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation2012.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=47596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}