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<\/p>\nDavid Haggith
\nthegreatrecession.info<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Conspiracy theories are like crime novels. You can create an infinite number of them, and all they require is a plausible plot built from real facts with enough twists to keep them interesting. That\u2019s why I don\u2019t spend my time trying to discern if any of them are true \u2014 though some may be \u2014 but now I\u2019m going to write one of my own. I find it completely plausible, fully in line with all the known facts and neither more likely nor less likely to be true than all the other conspiracy theories ever told.<\/p>\n
First, here are the elements I see to writing a great conspiracy theory:<\/p>\n
In this case, I\u2019m going to reveal my tricks to show how a conspiracy theory is made credible enough to find a market-share of disciples who will spread it. That\u2019s why I\u2019m writing this. (Or is it?)<\/p>\n
Let us entertain the prospect that Nancy Pelosi and the entire Democratic side of congress just walked into the greatest 4-D election trap in history to see how that might happen, and let us consider that the trap is not fake but is a cluster of real facts that will all turn against the Democrats and bury their election hopes. It goes like this:<\/p>\n
The president\u2019s call to Ukraine\u2019s President Volodymyr Zelensky was put on a classified computer for two reasons: 1) To lead Democrats to conclude on their own that the President is covering his own wrongdoing (the trap\u2019s bait). 2) The call included actual information about President Trump\u2019s chief opposition, Joe Biden, that his inner circle now knows to be true but that they don\u2019t want Democrats to see \u2026 just yet.<\/p>\n
In a game of 4-D chess, a master who understands cons, as Trump surely does, knows that the evidence against Biden will be far more damaging if all of it is brought to light by the Democrats, making it credible at a level that is virtually impossible for the Dem\u2019s deny when they are the ones that wind up disclosing it through their own investigation \u2026 and investigation they cannot easily shut down because they have the whole world expecting them to land results.<\/p>\n
What could the president know that the Democrats don\u2019t know about Joseph Biden? What if Biden\u2019s interactions in Ukraine that were of concern in the phone call had little to do with his son\u2019s corporate interest in Ukraine and everything to do with a deep-state plot during the Obama administration that that Trump is ready to lay bear \u2014 a plot to create an insurance policy that would subvert a Trump presidency if Americans did actually elect Trump?<\/p>\n
(Do you see what I did there? Threw in my first twist to make it intriguing to your mind, but did it as a what-if so\u00a0you<\/em>\u00a0can make the conclusion for yourself, not me, which you might have been more apt to do if hadn\u2019t just stopped you.)<\/p>\n Numerous articles have been written in past years claiming that the Obama administration backed a coup against Ukraine\u2019s democratically elected leader, who was too friendly with Russia to suit America\u2019s military-industrial complex. The coup supported a new president who is much more friendly to American interests.<\/p>\n If I were writing a conspiracy book, I\u2019d lay out an entire chapter or even several chapters of mainstream and some not-so-mainstream articles providing details of America\u2019s supposed involvement in said coup as a real conspiracy to form the backbone to my own conspiracy theory. Whether that conspiracy and intrigue actually happened under the Obama administration, I\u2019m not weighing either for or against right now, but belief that it likely did is essential to my conspiracy theory. Since I\u2019m not writing a book, I\u2019ll trust that most readers have, at least, heard the theory in their own readings.<\/p>\n (This is the part where I said I\u2019d lay open the bones of how conspiracy theories are created. If I were actually trying to create a conspiracy theory (or maybe I am and I\u2019m conning you into believing I\u2019m not so you make the conclusion on your own), I\u2019d impress you with all the accounts that support US involvement in a Ukraine coup.)<\/p>\n The bottom line of the coup conspiracy within the Obama Administration is that the illegitimate coup is Russia\u2019s justification for taking over Crimea and is Russia\u2019s justification for claiming the US is the aggressor around its critical borders. The belief is that the US sponsored a coup and overthrew a democratically elected leader because the US only supports democracies when democracies do what is in America\u2019s best interests.<\/p>\n So, maybe the real story with Biden involves 1) how he participated in setting up or supporting a coup; 2) how he later leveraged that support of the new government to get parties in Ukraine to retaliate against Russia by creating all the computer hacks that were, for a fact, later blamed on Russia. Consider that Ukraine is close to Russia physically, has many Russian people living within its borders and, therefore, many people who can write in Russian. There are ample people who, while from Russia, might be self-exiles in Ukraine from times when Russia was not friendly to their interests \u2014 people who might have abundant reason and ability to conspire in a sophisticated plot to smear Russia. Combine that with U.S. funding and U.S. technical support, perhaps from the CIA or other US agencies that have their own reasons to undermine Russia, and you could create some credible mirroring on the internet to make it look as if all hacking of the DNC and other election manipulation was done from Russia by Russia.<\/p>\n You get the new government of Ukraine\u2019s full cooperation in all of that because they 1) wouldn\u2019t have come into power without your support of their coup, so they owe you a favor; 2) they still need your support since they are now in a war with Russia; 3) they are outraged by Russia\u2019s seizure of Crimea. What the Obama administration never disclosed to Ukraine is that all of this would be used to subvert the Obama administration\u2019s own rival should Trump become president \u2014 that it wasn\u2019t all just about making Russia look bad after the election because Ukraine\u2019s presumption was that Obama\u2019s administration would essentially continue under Joe Biden or, at worst, under Hillary Clinton if she beat Biden in the primaries.<\/p>\n Of course, the new Ukraine government would have to consider that Republicans might win and retaliate if they found out, but they are beholden to the Obama administration for getting them into power in the first place and desperate for the Obama administration\u2019s support now that Russia has decided to fight a war against what it sees as the illegitimate government of Ukraine. The new Ukrainian government (and perhaps the Obama administration) had not anticipated an actual military response by Russia. Now that they got one, the upstart government in Ukraine desperately needed American support; so, of course, the new government cooperated with the Obama Administration to get military support and because it owed a huge favor to the administration.<\/p>\n So, they create a Ukraine-based, Russia-tagged, hacking operation to turn Russia into the bad guy in order to create the full justification the US would need before its own electorate to justify aggression against Russia in the form of higher sanctions, diminished political ties with the rest of the Western world, and most of all continued military support of Ukraine against Russia, which both Ukraine and the US wanted. (And now we have motive and lots of it.)<\/p>\n You might ask, why would the Obama administration help Ukraine create a Russia-mirrored attack on the Democratic National Committee when that attack hurt Hillary Clinton\u2019s prospects of getting elected? (To create an enduring conspiracy theory, you have to anticipate objections that will be raised against it, and answer them before they are asked.)<\/p>\n I will ask in return,\u00a0did<\/em>\u00a0the hacking hurt Clinton? What hurt Hillary Clinton was not the purported Russian hack but her own sloppy use of email on a personal computer, brought to the full attention of America by America\u2019s self-aggrandizing spook, James Comey. It wasn\u2019t what Russians did with it. It was just the fact that she was sloppy. When Comey rang his second brazen public alarm about Hillary\u2019s emails, not being in on the conspiracy, just before the actual election, her poll numbers plunged about 8% overnight. When he came back out a week later and said, \u201cNothing to see here folks,\u201d her poll numbers recovered six percentage points. That still left her down 2%, which is exactly the amount she lost by.<\/p>\n So, Hillary\u2019s loss probably had less to do with any Russian hacking than with Comey\u2019s statements about her emails. Many have suggested that Russian propaganda (whether put out via a Ukraine campaign to discredit Russia or actually put out by Russia) was minute when measured against all campaign propaganda by the two major parties and, therefore, probably limited in impact. The very fact that there wasn\u2019t enough to be effective argues the real motive behind it may have not been to stop Hillary from being elected but to have an insurance plan, should Trump get elected.<\/p>\n The inner circle of the Obama Admin. may have felt they could deal with the limited impact of propaganda against Hillary, while the bigger gain would be in the way they could use it to thwart their competition when the claim was made that Trump was collaborating with Russia \u2014 something we all know to be patently untrue at this point since the Mueller investigation. That was arguably one of the largest investigations in history conducted with the help of agencies that claim to be the most potent investigative agencies in world; yet it didn\u2019t turn up evidence as big as a speck of dust to prove those claims.<\/p>\n All the Mueller inquisition managed to nail down anyone with was refusals to cooperate with the Mueller team, and all they have remaining against Trump is obstruction of justice. One can reasonably ask, even if Trump did obstruct the investigation (far from proven), how can it be obstruction of\u00a0justice<\/em>\u00a0if the entire inquisition was one of the greatest\u00a0injustices<\/em>\u00a0of American history, in that it attempted for two years to undermine and subvert a duly elected American president and his administration with entirely concocted claims for which the accusers never produced a dust-mite\u2019s lunch worth of evidence?<\/p>\n Suppose, presently, Biden really thinks all Trump has on him is the administration\u2019s oft\u2019 talked about claim that Biden was involved in pressuring the new Ukraine government to take pressure off his son, Hunter \u2014 a complete nothing-burger as far as Biden is concerned. Suppose the Trump administration spent months harping on that and only on that to lead Biden and other Dems to think that was all they had. Hubris often causes politicians to think their deeply buried secrets are safe because such secrets, guarded by the \u201cdeep state\u201d usually are.<\/p>\n (Notice I put \u201cdeep state\u201d in quotes because I\u2019m not admitting it actually exists. If I were writing a real conspiracy theory, I\u2019d take the quotes off, trusting a part part of my audience to just run with their natural bias of believing in the deep state. Thus, they would follow along with my theory, especially if their political bias also runs with Trump, giving me a large audience of potential believers. On the other hand, what if I really am creating a conspiracy theory here and want to put you off your guard by pretending I\u2019m not, so you\u2019ll think I\u2019m just being objective? What if I want you to leap to the conclusion that I\u2019m being so objective and fair in pointing out my tricks that I could not be really creating a 4-D conspiracy theory of my own while laying out something credible enough for you to choose to believe in your own \u2026 all the more strongly because you make the leap?)<\/p>\n Moving right along: This is where we come to greatest trap for Democrats in history as Trump plays 4-D chess with all of them.<\/p>\n As president of the US, Trump would have better access to information about the US-backed coup than anyone in the country. (Did you just notice how I went straight to using the definite article, \u201cthe,\u201d when mentioning the coup in order to turn US sponsorship from supposition about \u201ca possible coup\u201d to a particular accepted fact? Or am I just tricking you by revealing my tricks into believing I\u2019m being purely objective here?)<\/p>\n As I was saying, supposing President Trump, who has access to information about the Obama Admin\u2019s involvement in a coup (if such involvement existed) and particularly Biden\u2019s involvement in later orchestrating a Ukraine-based fake hacking operation (if such involvement existed), knows that the most convincing way to bring all this information to the attention of all Americans is to trick Democrats into being the ones to release it all.<\/p>\n Trump and all of his administration know Democrats are absolutely salivating for the opportunity to impeach him so are likely to leap at the next opportunity now that Mueller led them all nowhere. So, what if Trump made a call to Ukraine in which he actually did ask its latest president (just elected in May of this year when Trump\u2019s accusations about Biden began in Ernest) to reveal information? That president\u2019s recent election could mean he is not necessarily a part to all the foregoing. He might be more easily pressed to release information about Biden that Trump can use, being desperate for continued military support or if his own opponents were involved. What if all the information about Biden is real and proves the Obama administration backed the coup and supported a fake hacking operation to subvert Trump and proves Biden was at the center of it all?=<\/p>\n Suddenly, withholding all Ukraine military support so Russia can crush Ukraine becomes perfectly acceptable as a way of strong-arming the new Ukraine government into releasing what it knows about actual subversive American actions in all of this. Suddenly, it turns into something that is no longer just a reach for mud on Biden but a revelation of real subversive deep-state behavior that needed to be exposed, regardless of the fact there is an election going on. Do you think the public at that point is going to be more angry with Trump for going after his opponent or more disgusted with Biden for covering all this subversion and maybe with Democrats for whatever roll the rest of them had in it?<\/p>\n Now, what if the informants to the whistleblower are all plants \u2014 insiders that Trump and his inner circle used to feed out only the aspects of the call that would trip all the Trump-Derangement-Syndrome circuit breakers in all the impeachment-slavering Democrats into going full impeachment? Perhaps that is why notes were used (controlled notes?) and not an actual transcript of the entire call. In other words, what if all aspects of the call that contained absolutely true known dirt about Biden were kept confidential, even top secret since they involve deliberate subversion of a duly elected US government at top levels in the Democratic Party? What if only the bits that entice were leaked to a person known to be sympathetic to Democrats and against Trump?<\/p>\n Now, take the final step for yourself \u2014 without me spelling it out: What happens when all of the inquiries the Democrats start making during their impeachment hearings start turning up this deeper evidence of Deep State activity by the Obama administration in subversion of the Trump administration?<\/p>\n You do the math as to whether revealing this through a Democrat attack on Trump that makes a far more convincing revelation of the facts that Trump has learned than if the not-always-so-credible (or might I just say \u201cincredible\u201d) Trump puts forward these claims against his opponents? What if, in other words, the Democrats open a Pandora\u2019s box they cannot close because no one would ever accept them saying, \u201cSorry Folks, Our bad. Nothing to see here.\u201d<\/p>\n You have to admit that little turn put a bit of a shiver of excitement up your spine. (Or did I just trick you into thinking you made the final leap into thinking how all of that would play out for the Democrats if their impeachment only turns up deeper facts of state about the Obama administration than most of them are aware even exist?)<\/p>\n And that, my friends, is why I don\u2019t spend time in my economic articles trying to chase down the truth about conspiracy theories because you can see how easy they are to create out of known facts and relatively accepted beliefs and how they play with your mind and tie your brain in circles when you try to figure out if they are true or not. You can spend a lot of time trying to figure out which, if any, of them are true,\u00a0which is why I choose to make my conclusions about where the economy is going based just on the trajectory of observable events.<\/em>\u00a0(Or am I just now trying to trick you into believing I would never entertain a conspiracy theory?)<\/p>\n Just sayin\u2019.<\/p>\n (As a safety relief valve for your mind: the truth or falsehood of this conspiracy theory will be known one way or another by whether or not facts against Biden that go far beyond his son Hunter do come to surface in the next couple of months during the Democrat\u2019s inquiries. If they don\u2019t and Republicans don\u2019t bring them up, you can probably go safe into the New Year knowing no such thing ever happened.)<\/p>\n One thing is for certain: Russian relations were reset alright.<\/p>\n
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